Retirees with a 40% equity, 60% bond portfolio and a withdrawal rate of 4% have a more than 50% chance of running out of money over a 30-year time horizon, according to a recent study.

Read: Portfolio income in retirement a matter of luck: Otar

The Wall Street Journal’s MarketWatch breaks down the report and shows the Monte Carlo simulators some financial planners rely on have major theoretical and practical limitations.

“Monte Carlo is definitely a step in the right direction, but it’s a relatively complex approach that [can] be both useful and dangerous to advisers and people at the same time,” says one of the study’s authors.

Read more here.

Also read:

Determinants of growth in distribution portfolios

Lifelong retirement income: the zone strategy

Originally published on Advisor.ca
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I love these articles which emphasize the risk of running out of money due to market fluctuations. A FAR bigger reason for running out of money is neglecting to plan for healthcare needs and costs as we age. I THINK Long Term Care insurance should be a major part of every healthy person’s planning

Monday, July 8 @ 10:20 am //////

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