In May, a record 67% of India’s population voted to re-elect Prime Minister Narendra Modi, charismatic leader of the Bharatiya Janata party, in a landslide victory. While Modi’s Hindu nationalist government continues to raise concerns among those who fear for the country’s secular roots, his rise to power in 2014 was largely based on his image as an economic reformer.
The government’s mantra of “reform, perform, transform” was reflected in its budget released in July, which outlined plans to accelerate economic reforms and have India become a US$5-trillion economy by 2024. India’s economy now stands at US$2.7 trillion and is the world’s third largest in terms of purchasing power parity, after the U.S. and China.
Modi’s policy continuity and an accommodative central bank, along with low oil prices and benign inflation, should gradually improve growth and support corporate profitability, says an HSBC Global Asset Management outlook report. Based on policy and earnings growth, the firm is overweight private financiers, commercial real estate and select domestic demand ideas, and underweight private capex, cars and staples.
Official name: Republic of India
Capital: New Delhi
Government type: Federal parliamentary republic
Population: 1.35 billion
Chief of state: President Ram Nath Kovind (since July 2017)
Head of government: Prime Minister Narendra Modi (since May 2014)
Currency: Indian rupees (INR); US$1 was worth about INR₹71 on Oct. 9
Citizenship: At least one parent must be a citizen of India
Source: CIA World Factbook, International Monetary Fund
Planning considerations for clients with foreign ties
International students from India are contributing to Canada’s G7-leading population growth. Sunit Paul, partner, Canadian tax at BDO in Calgary, has noticed the trend. “I see so many youngsters [from India] travelling to Canada for studies,” she says. “When I speak to some of them, the intent is not to go back.”
The student influx is good for Canada’s economy, and presents additional planning considerations for advisors who will later serve this demographic. A typical scenario would be a client inheriting property in India—a distinct possibility as students typically come from well-to-do families, Paul says.
Vikas Saida, a financial advisor at Raymond James in Mississauga, Ont., asks clients with foreign property the following questions: Does the property have liens or tax-filing requirements that are handled by a licensed tax advisor in Canada as well as India? Is legal documentation being maintained? Is the property held for sentimental value, or does it provide rental income? The latter would require tracking income and expenses, and a local property manager, which should be arranged before leaving India, Saida says.
At death, worldwide assets are deemed disposed of at fair market value (FMV). To determine the capital gain or loss on the property, the FMV and cost are required. Ascertaining the FMV could be challenging for executors since the property is in a foreign jurisdiction, Paul says. And clients typically don’t document the cost, which would be the FMV at the time of the inheritance.
Paul suggests clients get documentation in place during their lifetimes, or consider selling or transferring title if, for example, their children plan to return to India. As with any Canadian resident, advisors should ensure the client’s estate can cover any tax liability at death, she adds.
For business-owner clients whose beneficiaries live in India, succession planning becomes an issue. Paul notes that a client’s private company shares are deemed disposed of at death, and if the new owner were a non-resident, the business would lose its status as a Canadian-controlled private corporation, with consequences that include loss of the small business tax rate.
She also notes that naming a non-resident of Canada as an executor could result in the client’s estate being considered foreign for tax purposes, resulting in administrative complications. And naming non-resident beneficiaries could result in withholding tax as the client’s estate is distributed. India has no inheritance or gift tax.
Many of Saida’s clients have parents in India, so he discusses with them the need to establish a support structure in India, such as family or friends, in case of financial or health emergencies.
Emerging markets as portfolio diversifier
China and India accounted for more than 40% of global economic growth in 2018 (in purchasing power parity terms) as a result of urbanization and a growing middle class. About 53% of India’s population is expected to live in urban areas by 2050, compared to about 33% in 2015, resulting in increased consumption. Emerging markets (EMs) currently account for half of all global consumption, and are forecasted to account for two-thirds by 2030, a Sun Life Global Investments white paper says.
India and other EMs also tend to have high savings rates, which means citizens have capital to fuel the economy in the future. India’s average savings rate as a percentage of gross national income is about 18% compared to Canada’s roughly 2.4%.
As consumption growth extends to growth in education spending, India’s economy will continue to transform from agriculture to manufacturing to technology. The country is second only to China in its number of graduates in science, technology, engineering and mathematics (2.6 million grads in 2016 compared to 568,000 in the U.S.).
Economic transformation results in “more diverse, resilient economies and more diverse, developed stock markets,” the paper says.
Income: Tax is imposed on business/trading income, passive income and capital gains at a standard rate of 30%
Dividends: 15% grossed up to 20.6%
Capital gains: Generally, 10% on long-term gains on listed shares and specified securities not subject to securities transaction tax (STT, which is a transfer tax). “Long term” means those assets are held for more than a year. Short-term gains on those assets that are subject to STT are taxed at 15%.
Income: Progressive up to 30% plus a cess of 4%. A surcharge of 10% or 15% applies if income exceeds ₹5 million or ₹10 million, respectively.
Exempt income: The first ₹250,000 is exempt. For resident seniors aged 60 to 79, the first ₹300,000 is exempt; for those over 80, ₹500,000 is exempt. India’s latest budget proposes tax relief for those with an annual income of ₹250,000 to ₹500,000.
Capital gains: Same as for corporations
Dividends: Dividends subject to corporate dividend tax are generally exempt
Interest: Generally, a 20% withholding tax applies when interest is paid to a non-resident on a foreign currency borrowing or debt, and 30% applies in some cases. Withholding tax on interest is 5% when paid to a non-resident on specific borrowings in foreign currency and on investments made by a qualified foreign investor in a rupee-denominated bond of an Indian company, or in a government security.
Inheritance or gift tax: None
Minimum alternative tax: 18.5% of adjusted total income, where normal income tax payable is less than the minimum alternative tax. Adjusted total income must exceed ₹2 million.
Source: Deloitte’s India Highlights 2019
GDP (purchasing power parity): $9.5 trillion (2017 estimate)
GDP growth: 6.7% (2018)
Inflation rate: 4.9% (2018)
GDP per capita (PPP): US$7,200 (2017 estimate)
Unemployment rate: 8.5% (2017 estimate)
GDP by sector (2016 estimates)
Source: CIA World Factbook, World Development Indicators database