Your clients might find it tough to stick to their cash-flow plans in the coming months. That’s because prices could be on the rise.
In fact, clients might already find themselves doing double takes at the grocer’s till. If so, they’re not the only ones taking note of higher prices.
“My daily coffee just went up a nickel, or 2.6%,” says BMO chief economist Douglas Porter in a weekly economics report.
He says inflation is all around us, except in official statistics: total annual inflation cooled a bit last month in Canada and the U.S.
Despite the dip, he expects higher inflation next year. That’s because “wages have suddenly shown some spark in Canada as conditions in the oil patch have stabilized and the job market elsewhere tightens.”
Further, minimum wage hikes in some provinces and less drag on import prices from the Canadian dollar will put upward pressure on prices.
Certainly, the longer-term trend indicates firming.
In the U.S. the six-month change in core CPI inflation was 1.8%, showing steady acceleration since July’s 0.9% reading, notes Michael Gregory, deputy chief economist at BMO, in the report.
“What also is encouraging is that the acceleration has been broad-based,” he says. “This raises the likelihood that core inflation can return to the 2% range early next year, particularly since the labour market has tightened further and the output gap has closed.”
A reading of 2% is also expected for Canada next year, which would be up from 1.5% in 2017, says Porter, who describes inflation as “stable,” in a report on CPI. Along with some steady price increases, that means time is on the Bank of Canada’s side.